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Michael C. Hebert/New Orleans Saints

NFL Draft Analysis: How Successful Have NFL Teams Been At Drafting?


Evaluating NFL draft prospects isn’t easy to do, but some teams are certainly better than others. In an attempt to measure the success of all 32 franchises, we have created a spreadsheet that breaks down the past four drafts by PFF grade for every player and season. You can read more about the process in the spreadsheet, which shows a) how Wolf Sports stacks up versus NFL teams, and b) how NFL teams stack up versus one another. For those who just want some of the basic numbers to see how your favorite team has drafted in recent years, this article has rankings for the main categories.

 

Hit percentage for NFL teams (worst to best)

 

32. Eagles (7.46%)

31. Cardinals (8.11%)

30. Texans (14.08%)

29. Seahawks (14.29%)

28. Packers (15.22%)

27. Dolphins (15.49%)

26. Vikings (15.69%)

25. Patriots (15.71%)

24. Falcons (16.39%)

23. Raiders (16.47%)

22. Jaguars (16.67%)

21. Jets (17.57%)

20. Bengals (18.00%)

19. Washington (18.48%)

18. Bears (18.97%)

17. Lions (19.75%)

16. 49ers (19.77%)

15. Broncos (20.24%)

14. Steelers (20.55%)

13. Browns (20.73%)

12. Titans (21.21%)

11. Rams (21.35%)

10. Bills (22.86%)

t-8. Panthers (23.19%)

t-8. Chargers (23.19%)

7. Colts (23.40%)

6. Cowboys (24.42%)

5. Buccaneers (24.64%)

4. Giants (25.00%)

3. Ravens (27.78%)

2. Chiefs (28.33%)

1. Saints (38.10%)

 

Average hit percentage for NFL teams: 19.78%

Average hit percentage for Wolf Sports: 30.87%

 

Star player percentage for NFL teams (worst to best)

 

32. Jaguars (3.13%)

t-30. Cardinals (3.33%)

t-30. Dolphins (3.33%)

29. Eagles (3.57%)

28. Texans (3.70%)

27. Giants (6.25%)

26. Vikings (6.82%)

25. Steelers (6.90%)

t-23. Bengals (7.89%)

t-23. Seahawks (7.89%)

t-21. Falcons (8.33%)

t-21. Packers (8.33%)

t-19. Cowboys (9.09%)

t-19. Raiders (9.09%)

18. Browns (9.68%)

17. Panthers (10.71%)

16. Ravens (10.81%)

t-14. Bears (12.50%)

t-14. Chiefs (12.50%)

13. Jets (13.79%)

12. Broncos (14.71%)

11. Lions (15.15%)

10. Colts (15.79%)

9. Titans (16.00%)

8. Patriots (16.13%)

7. Washington (16.67%)

6. Rams (17.14%)

5. Buccaneers (17.86%)

4. Chargers (18.52%)

3. 49ers (19.35%)

2. Bills (21.43%)

1. Saints (21.74%)

 

Average star player percentage for NFL teams: 11.50%

Average star player percentage for Wolf Sports: 19.28%

 

Final Thoughts

 

Two NFL franchises ranked in the top five for both hit percentage and star player percentage: New Orleans and Tampa Bay.

 

The Saints have gone 11-5, 13-3, 13-3, and 12-4 over the past four seasons.

 

The Buccaneers just won Super Bowl LV.

 

Three NFL franchises ranked in the bottom five for both hit percentage and star player percentage: Philadelphia, Arizona, and Houston.

 

The Eagles have drafted zero Pro Bowl players over the past four seasons.

 

The Cardinals haven’t had a winning record since 2015 and are 24-39-1 over the past four seasons.

 

The Texans just went 4-12 with Deshaun Watson at quarterback.

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Philadelphia Sports Fan
Philadelphia Sports Fan
1 month ago

Lol exactly what I expected when I clicked

FIRE HOWIE
FIRE HOWIE
1 month ago

Hahaha it’s a joke at this point #FireHowie

Troy
Troy
1 month ago

Ha

WWprime
WWprime
1 month ago

Very nice.

Gary
Gary
1 month ago

Yours might have been even better if you were able to interview prospects

davidchappine
davidchappine
1 month ago
Reply to  Gary

Yup, maybe! There are some players we might have been lower or higher on if we talked to them.

NY anon
NY anon
1 month ago

Giants real picks make sense % wise. Solid roster but they need more stars (WR, LB, pass rush)

TBJay
TBJay
1 month ago

Cool

ilikethestonk
ilikethestonk
1 month ago

eagles rofl

Dave
Dave
1 month ago

Saints are a great organization I have to admit.

Gil
Gil
1 month ago

Solid work

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